29 Jul · 16:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1491
FormLWLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1675
FormWWWWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H53-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-12)