29 Jul · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zochniak
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1439
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Linek🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H47-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-37)