29 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1443
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1587
FormWLLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H17-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-6)