29 Jul · 19:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1464
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1497
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.