29 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1276
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1342
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)