29 Jul · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1794
FormWWWWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Gasiorski
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1535
FormLWWLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+259
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+259)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)