29 Jul · 18:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1511
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1593
FormWWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)