30 Jul · 05:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇵🇱Josef Braun
ELO 1745
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolasa
SK
🇵🇱Szymon Kolasa
ELO 1802
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kolasa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)