30 Jul · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GF
🇵🇱Grzegorz Felkel
ELO 1896
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Felkel
AG
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1855
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Grela covers set handicap as underdog 71% (59)
Fair odds · Felkel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H48-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)