30 Jul · 05:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KP
🇵🇱Kacper Petas
ELO 1814
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Petas
JZ
🇵🇱Jan Zandecki
ELO 1799
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Petas
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H18-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.