30 Jul · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1364
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1440
FormLLLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Nowak🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H10-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)