29 Jul · 19:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1404
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kowalczyk
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1298
FormWLLLL
62%
38%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 40% · 2.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)