29 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1384
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skorski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1304
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H8-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)