29 Jul · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1404
FormWLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kowalczyk
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1270
FormWLLWL
64%
36%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)