29 Jul · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1304
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1351
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H31-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)