29 Jul · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1609
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jadach
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1556
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)