29 Jul · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1575
FormLWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Nocun
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1443
FormWWLWW
64%
36%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)