29 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1598
FormLWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gasiorski
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1771
FormLLWWW
32%
68%
🌟Pruszkowski goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)