29 Jul · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1548
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Gasiorski
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1771
FormLLWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+223
H2H23-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-7)