29 Jul · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1409
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kowalczyk
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1308
FormLWWWL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Golaszewski🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H36-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-27)