29 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1389
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skorski
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1343
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Fabis covers set handicap as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H47-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)