29 Jul · 22:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1594
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1613
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Pruszkowski goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H27-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.