29 Jul · 23:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1433
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H20-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)