29 Jul · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1558
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Koczyba
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1398
FormLLLWL
67%
33%
🌟Koczyba stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)