30 Jul · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1699
FormWWLLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1433
FormLLWWL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+266
H2H44-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-14)