30 Jul · 00:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1601
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pruszkowski
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1545
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H15-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)