30 Jul · 00:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1273
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1313
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+40)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)