30 Jul · 01:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1385
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Skorski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1267
FormLWLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)