30 Jul · 02:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1561
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Koczyba
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1491
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
🌟Koczyba stays under total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)