Rafal Niemiec vs Adrian Burkacki — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

29 Jul · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1491

3-1Final setsNiemiec won

🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki

ELO 1400

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 57%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Niemiec — profile →Adrian Burkacki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.47

Favourite won

Total 77.5

76 points played

Under

Set handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Rafal Niemiec −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Adrian Burkacki.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 54% → final 91%

Adrian Burkacki ▼

Biggest swing 56 ptsNiemiec recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games