30 Jul · 03:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1400
FormLLWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)