30 Jul · 03:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1188
FormLLWWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+304
H2H37-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+304)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-15)