30 Jul · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1590
FormWWLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Nocun
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1440
FormWLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)