30 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1709
FormWWWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Warzecha
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
72%
28%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H44-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-16)