30 Jul · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1190
FormLWLLW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1601
FormLWWWW
14%
86%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 85% · 1.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~73 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+411
H2H17-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+411)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-3)