Rafal Niemiec vs Marian Lebek — TT Elite Series

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30 Jul · 02:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1478

0-3Final setsLebek won

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1546

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 56%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Niemiec — profile →Marian Lebek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 77.5

46 points played

Under

Set handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 40% → final 0%

Marian Lebek ▼

Biggest swing 40 pts45 points · 3 games