30 Jul · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1369
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1472
FormLLLWL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H33-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-26)