30 Jul · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1431
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dabrowski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1331
FormLLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H34-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-27)