30 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1468
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Klocek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)