30 Jul · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1306
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1404
FormLLWWL
39%
61%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)