30 Jul · 06:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1470
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Niemiec
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1391
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Niemiec goes over total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)