30 Jul · 06:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1602
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nocun
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1491
FormWLLLL
62%
38%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H47-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-11)