30 Jul · 05:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1432
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1491
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H20-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)