30 Jul · 08:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1458
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1567
FormWWLLW
38%
62%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H10-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)