30 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1442
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dabrowski
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1441
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.