30 Jul · 07:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1369
FormWLWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H53-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-18)