30 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1300
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Piecowski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1245
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H37-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-28)