30 Jul · 09:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H16-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-9)