30 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1460
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rudomina
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H40-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-38)