30 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1299
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1451
FormWWWLL
34%
66%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)